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Stumbling out of the gates

Monday, January 4th, 2010

Reflecting on the President’s evolving response to the failed Christmas attack, NBC’s First Read today sees a pattern in the Obama Team’s frequent early mishandling of news events:

During the presidential campaign, Team Obama often displayed this pattern when dealing with a troubling story: They swung and missed on the first pitch or two (bad first day response), then singled up the middle on the following pitch (adequate response), and finally, in many cases, scored (truly found their stride). Some examples that come to mind: Jeremiah Wright and the “bitter” controversy. And this pattern reared its head again regarding the failed terrorist attack. Compare Homeland Security Secretary Janet Napolitano’s “the system worked” and even the president’s initial statement on the failed attack, to John Brennan’s strong performance on “Meet” yesterday and Obama’s equally strong weekly address on Saturday and his SECOND statement last week when he said there were “human and systemic failures.”

The NBC political unit is absolutely correct that the Obama Team was prone to stumbling out of the gates during the campaign. In addition to the Wright & “bitter” episodes, their initial attack (and then backtracking) on Sarah Palin was incredibly inartful.

But it’s not a problem, as the NBC guys suggest, that the Obama team somehow had solved between the campaign and the failed Christmas attack. To the contrary, the Obama Administration has initially fumbled plenty of events in the last 12 months, most significantly the initial response to the H1N1 breakout. (Also: several cabinet nominations, the canceled missile defense shield, and some of the fiscal responsibility messaging.)

Friday Dumps Revisited

Thursday, November 19th, 2009

Writing in the Wall Street Journal today, Karl Rove chronicles a phenomena I’ve written about previously: The Obama White House’s penchant for Friday afternoon news dumps. Karl argues that this news-management tactic offers diminishing returns once in office:

What we are seeing with the White House’s timing in releasing its decision on KSM and other terrorists is a presidency clinging to campaign tactics that aim to dominate the 24-hour-news cycle. The problem is that ploys that work in a campaign don’t work nearly as well when you’re in charge of the executive branch. Once in office, you have to live with the consequences of a policy decision.

Another problem with Friday afternoon dumps of consequence – like the decision to try KSM in New York courts – is that it actually minimizes the White House’s ability to control the story’s spin, since the initial messaging gets minimal coverage. Specifically, in the case of KSM, since the White House so effectively minimized the coverage of the actually announcement, more people are likely to first learn the news from an Administration critic in subsequent days, rather than an original Administration messanger. (And, obviously, the critics are not presenting the Administration’s case in the best light.)

I’ll concede that the Obama White House’s strategy of making personnel and minor policy announcements on Friday afternoons probably is effective at minimizing coverage. But making major announcements that will surely spark debate on Fridays – like the Afghanistan surge last spring, or the KSM announcement last week – will only weaken the Administration’s long-term case.

What emergency?!

Sunday, October 25th, 2009

After spending much of the day on the campaign trail, President Obama declared the H1N1 flu pandemic a Federal emergency late Friday night, the White House announced Saturday morning. As though the timing of the declaration wasn’t enough to minimize coverage (signed on a Friday night; announced on a Saturday morning), the White House sought to further downplay its significance. Reports the New York Times:

“Government officials emphasized that Mr. Obama’s declaration was largely a administrative move that did not signify any unanticipated worsening of the outbreak of the H1N1 flu nationwide.”

As if to drive home the point, some naïve White House official drew a false comparison that could nonetheless prove frighteningly accurate. Reported the Associated Press:

“Officials described the move as similar to a declaration ahead of a hurricane making landfall.”

If the White House wants to minimize the urgency of the situation, that’s a bad analogy. As the White House’s “lessons-learned” study post-Katrina reported, President Bush’s declaration of a Federal emergency prior to the storm’s landfall was unique:

“The issuance of a Presidential emergency declaration before landfall is extremely rare, and indicative of the recognition that Katrina had the potential to be particularly devastating. Since 1990, only one such incident, Hurricane Floyd in 1999, resulted in declarations before landfall.”

If the White House did not want to minimize the urgency of the H1N1 pandemic, then why did they announce it in the manner they did? The signing of a Federal emergency is a good opportunity for the President to address the nation — or at least the media — and provide further guidance on how citizens can protect themselves. (To the contrary, as of Saturday night, the declaration was still not mentioned on the front page of WhiteHouse.gov.)

Bottom-line, there are only two ways to fight pandemics: Vaccines and public information. The nation has failed on the former: Not nearly enough vaccines are available from Federal contractors as the Obama Administration had projected. And, even if there were, the infrastructure does not exist to effectively distribute them, according to Reuters.

That leaves public information and education the last best defense against the pandemic. That requires Presidential leadership, yet he has not publicly addressed the flu’s spread and severity for weeks. Why not???

The Obama Administration’s handling of the H1N1 flu at the outset was a disaster: The White House contributed to misbranding it as “swine flu”; the President distractingly injected politics into the outbreak; and both the President and Vice President delivered incorrect information and advice in the early days.

As the pandemic now takes hold and we’re seeing the terrifying beginnings of what could be a very deadly and disruptive flu season, the President should put public health first (or at least before Friday’s politicking) and use his microphone to do everything possible to raise awareness of the virus and how to avoid it.

Otherwise, his pre-emptive emergency-declaration could be as forgotten as President Bush’s declaration prior to Katrina … and their legacies in dealing with a natural disaster could be the same.

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