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Posts Tagged ‘budget’

The long-term deficit problem

Tuesday, February 2nd, 2010

Earlier today, I appeared on CBS Unplugged to discuss the President’s budget proposal. My basic message was to state the obvious: The budget projections presented by President Obama on Monday are not realistic or sustainable.

Even under the White House’s favorable economic projections, the deficit remains huge for the next decade, and debt will quickly grow to be more than 100 percent of GDP — and then grow, and grow, and grow. As I wrote in the Weekly Standard last April:

Economists agree that the nation’s never-ending deficits and mushrooming debt can only be sustained with so much foreign lending. After that, the government will be left with three painful options: dramatic cuts in spending; government-inspired inflation; or higher taxes on the middle class.

You can watch the full CBS interview here:


First take on Obama’s Budget

Monday, February 1st, 2010

While available to Hill staff and press in physical form first thing this morning, President Obama’s FY2011 budget was not widely available until a few minutes ago – and even then, only through the Government Printing Office’s website. I’m sure it was unintentional, but it did slow down independent budget geeks (like me) from reviewing his latest proposals while Administration officials touted and shaped the early stories.

Nevertheless, here are some of my initial observations about the President’s budget:

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The truth about Obama’s budget cuts

Sunday, January 31st, 2010

The White House today says tomorrow’s FY2011 budget is “proposing more than 120 terminations, reductions, and savings for approximately $20 billion in savings this year.” (I assume they mean next year, since this year’s budget is already enacted.)

To put that in perspective, that’s about the same number of programs the White House proposed cutting last year, and, as I wrote after they released last year’s budget, a significantly lower number than what President Bush proposed cutting every year of his second term.

Granted, the proposed savings — $20 billion — is a bit higher than what Bush ever proposed saving (and what Obama proposed last year), but since the White House has not yet broken out how much of that is mandatory (and almost impossible to cut) and how much is discretionary, it’s hard to put much weight in that number now.

The Obama White House is also touting the relative success they had achieving their proposed cuts last year compared to President Bush. But two observations are in order: First, President Bush proposed cutting significantly more programs (about 150 most years) than Obama, which skews the relative success rates. Second, in the early years of Bush’s administration, the deficit was small, so their was little pressure on Congress to deliver cuts. And, when the deficit started to grow in the later years, the Democrats took charge of Congress, and had little appetite for accepting Bush’s budget. Now, Obama’s party controls Congress and deficits are a pressing issue, so cuts should be easier.

The bottom line is that President Obama deserves credit for proposing some cuts, but some perspective is in order.

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